Key takeaways: $33 trillion in debt will mature across advanced economies in 2026, forming a refinancing wall that could drain liquidity and weigh on risk-on assets as borrowing costs remain high. Global liquidity is projected to peak in late 2025, historically a precursor to tighter markets. Secular bull markets since WWII have lasted 18 to…
Read more
Key takeaways: President Donald Trump’s push for aggressive interest rate cuts could trigger a surge in inflation, weaken the dollar, and destabilize long-term bond markets. Even without rate cuts, trade policy and fiscal expansion are likely to push prices higher. Bitcoin stands to benefit either way—whether as an inflation hedge in a rapid-cut environment, or…
Read more
Key takeaways: Bitcoin is now a macro asset, with behavior increasingly tied to traditional risk markets and vulnerable to the same systemic pressures as TradFi assets. Custodial concentration is reshaping Bitcoin’s market structure, increasing systemic risk and weakening self-custody norms. A cultural and structural split may emerge, with a “clean” institutional Bitcoin and a “wild”…
Read more
Key takeaways: Institutional investor inflows are changing Bitcoin’s character, reducing its volatility and increasing accessibility for everyday investors. Spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold over $138 billion in assets, with RIAs, hedge funds, and pensions driving a growing share. Lower volatility improves Bitcoin’s chances of functioning as a medium of exchange, not just digital gold. Bitcoin…
Read more
Key takeaways: Onchain metrics suggest retail investors are asleep, but the ETFs’ AUM is growing Retail investors hold the majority of spot Bitcoin ETF shares—either directly or indirectly through investment advisers and hedge funds acting on their behalf. Direct retail investor demand may be dormant but not dead, especially outside the US, where self-custody remains…
Read more
Key takeaways: Bitcoin spent the week fighting to hold above $107,000, but exchange inflows remain at historic lows as retail investors choose to sit on the sidelines. Stagflation becomes a real risk as US growth slows, but Fed rate cuts could fix the situation and supercharge Bitcoin price. Onchain data shows Bitcoiners accumulating, suggesting the…
Read more
Key takeaways: President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill could add over $2.4 trillion to the US debt, accelerating a looming debt crisis and spiking inflation. Inflation and dollar devaluation remain the path of least resistance in the US economy, eroding the real value of cash and bonds. Bitcoin can offer a hedge, but only if…
Read more
Key takeaways: Bitcoin onchain data shows a steady depletion of exchange and OTC balances, pointing to long-term accumulation and tightening supply. With BTC open interest near record highs and liquidity drying up, the market is tightly coiled, raising the probability of a sharp move. Bitcoin (BTC) price has consistently risen, even as trading volumes dropped…
Read more
Key takeaways: • Analysts from VanEck, Fundstrat, and Standard Chartered forecast a 2025 BTC top between $180,000 and $250,000, citing institutional adoption and historical market cycles. • Rising global liquidity and record spot BTC ETF inflows have reinforced Bitcoin analysts’ most bullish price projections. As Bitcoin (BTC) continues its bull run and sets new highs,…
Read more
Key takeaways: Rising bond yields reflect growing concern about fiscal stability and inflation, leading some investors to question US Treasury’s traditional role as a safe-haven asset. Bitcoin defies conventional risk models, rising not because of worsening macro conditions, but possibly because of them. Bitcoin (BTC) climbed to new heights amid an increasingly fragile global macroeconomic…
Read more